Tax Cuts for the Wealthy and Job Creation

by David VIckrey
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The other day the SPD announced its Election Platform, which included a plan to "soak the rich" by increasing the marginal income tax rate for individuals earning in excess of € 250,000.  The CSU/CDU was quick to condemn the plan as hurting the potential for job growth.  Edmund Stoiber led the attack:

"Schröder und (SPD-Chef Franz) Müntefering haben in der ernstesten Arbeitsmarkt-, Wachstums- und Schuldenkrise Deutschlands seit 1949 neue milliardenschwere Wahlgeschenke auf den Tisch gelegt anstatt Antworten auf die notwendigen Veränderungen in Deutschland zu geben", sagte Stoiber in München.

On the contrary, the CDU contends, the path to creating new jobs is through cutting taxes for the wealthy: the CDU is expected to announce a plan to cut income tax rates across the board to 39% (while increasing the value-added tax – Mehrwertsteuer).

But does cutting taxes for the wealthy actually lead to higher employment?  The signature policy of the Bush administration and the Republican Congress has been put through huge tax cuts that benefit primarily the top 2% of Americans in terms of income.  The result, according to Cornell economist Robert Frank, show that cutting taxes for the wealthy does not create new jobs:

A second way the Bush tax cuts might have stimulated employment is by inducing the wealthy to spend more on consumption. But a large share of the tax windfalls received by the wealthy are not spent in the short run. And even among those who are induced to spend more, the main effect is not increased demand for domestically produced goods and services, but rather increased bidding for choice oceanfront property and longer waiting lists for the new Porsche Carrera GT. Such spending does little to stimulate domestic employment.

Had the dollars required to finance the president’s tax cuts been used in other ways, they would have made a real difference. Larger tax cuts for middle- and low-income families, for example, would have stimulated immediate new spending because the savings rates for most of these families are low. And their additional spending would have been largely for products made by domestic businesses – which would have led, in turn, to increased employment.

The facts speak for themselves: total private employment – despite the largest tax cut in history – was lower in January 2005 than January 2001 – the first time since the Great Depression that employment fell in a president’s term.  So in terms of job growth, the SPD has a stronger platform going into the election.

UPDATE:  The other day I posted about the problems of viewing the US economy as a model for Europe.  Well, for German readers, there is an excellent piece by Joachim Jahnke on Albrecht Müller’s NachDenkSeitenNeoliberales Modell USA?  Jahnke explores in some detail some of the issues I brought up.

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Kuch July 12, 2005 - 12:20 am

David
Did I not hear in the news this week that 146,000 new jobs were created last month in the US? I believe there is a general range for healthy economies for unemployment which is from 4.5 to 6.5%. The rate of employment in the US was the same during Bush’s re-election and Clinton’s re-election. Lowering taxes alone won’t work in Germany because of their lack of a vibrant domestic market, and the national debt. As a percentage of GNP, Germany’s debt has been constantly rising. Deficit’s need to be temporary, and FOR something. Germany’s debt level is around 65%, while the successful economies of Europe have been much lower, and trending in the opposite direction. UK at 40%, Ireland at 33%, Sweden at 35%, Denmark at 43%, etc…)

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David July 12, 2005 - 7:10 am

Kuch,
I am in complete agreement with you re: deficits. How temporary do you think the Bush deficits are, when he wants to make the tax cuts permanent while spending $100 billion+ per annum for his Iraq debacle?

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Kuch July 12, 2005 - 1:35 pm

Actually, I was talking about Reagan’s deficits, which I think clearly met the litmus test of being temporary, and FOR something. Most fiscal conservatives (myself included) typically bemoan one aspect of the Bush Administration’s policies; over-spending! The difference between Bush and Reagan is just this aspect. Reagan’s cuts were also permanent. One of the best things that Clinton did was hold the line on domestic spending, which I think he rarely gets credit for; although he operated under an opposition congress…

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